Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Thomas 52.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 86.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 68.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 72.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
McTavish
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McTavish
Thomas
Last 8: McTavish 5-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
53.6% (924)
-11.2%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
55.2% (181)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.0% (116)
+6.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
McTavish shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
McTavish
Thomas
Home
41.9% (372)
53.6% (606)
Away
42.8% (353)
52.2% (615)
By Period
McTavish
Thomas
P1
47.2%
48.2%
P2
36.2%
55.3%
P3
43.6%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
44.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |