Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Thomas 51.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 62.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 60.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 51.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
McTavish
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McTavish
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
McTavish
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
50.1% (615)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
62.2% (98)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
52.6% (114)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
McTavish
Thomas
Home
52.2% (389)
51.9% (374)
Away
45.1% (335)
51.9% (453)
By Period
McTavish
Thomas
P1
50.0%
49.2%
P2
47.9%
55.3%
P3
49.0%
50.6%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |