Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Thomas 52.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 50.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 62.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 51.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
McTavish
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McTavish
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
1
McTavish
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
53.2% (1,166)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
56.9% (262)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
48.4% (221)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
McTavish
Thomas
Home
52.0% (454)
51.6% (830)
Away
51.4% (391)
54.7% (819)
By Period
McTavish
Thomas
P1
51.3%
52.7%
P2
50.4%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |