Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Hartman 45.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 64.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
McTavish
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McTavish
Hartman
Last 7: McTavish 3-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
McTavish
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
44.8% (830)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
47.8% (92)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.5% (16)
-4.2%
On power play, McTavish has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hartman
Home
52.2% (389)
45.0% (515)
Away
45.1% (335)
44.9% (423)
By Period
McTavish
Hartman
P1
50.0%
46.5%
P2
47.9%
39.9%
P3
49.0%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |