Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.3% vs 42.9%). McTavish wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Hartman 44.0% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
McTavish
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
42.6% (495)
-0.2%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
38.5% (26)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
48.8% (43)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
McTavish shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hartman
Home
41.9% (372)
43.4% (288)
Away
42.8% (353)
42.4% (276)
By Period
McTavish
Hartman
P1
47.2%
43.1%
P2
36.2%
43.4%
P3
43.6%
42.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%