Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Hartman 45.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 60.3%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 63.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
McTavish
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
13
(29 meetings)
16
13
McTavish
Hartman
Last 10: McTavish 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
8
0
McTavish
Hartman
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
10
McTavish
Hartman
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
5
3
McTavish
Hartman
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
45.2% (4,235)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
47.4% (443)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
42.4% (262)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hartman
Home
49.8% (1,678)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
McTavish
Hartman
P1
50.0%
46.0%
P2
47.8%
42.9%
P3
48.4%
46.8%
OT
43.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |