Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Hartman 47.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 65.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
McTavish
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
McTavish
Hartman
Last 10: McTavish 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
McTavish
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
3
McTavish
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
47.1% (649)
+4.2%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
47.1% (68)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
45.2% (73)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hartman
Home
52.0% (454)
46.5% (361)
Away
51.4% (391)
47.3% (429)
By Period
McTavish
Hartman
P1
51.3%
45.1%
P2
50.4%
44.4%
P3
53.3%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |