Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Steel 48.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 77.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 62.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
McTavish
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McTavish
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
McTavish
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
49.5% (553)
-7.1%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
61.3% (31)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
30.6% (49)
+19.4%
On power play, Steel has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
McTavish
Steel
Home
41.9% (372)
46.4% (347)
Away
42.8% (353)
51.4% (286)
By Period
McTavish
Steel
P1
47.2%
52.1%
P2
36.2%
49.8%
P3
43.6%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |