Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Steel 52.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 66.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
McTavish
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McTavish
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
McTavish
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
56.9% (320)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
71.4% (7)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
37.0% (73)
-8.4%
On power play, Steel has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
McTavish
Steel
Home
52.3% (461)
55.9% (202)
Away
49.2% (500)
51.0% (198)
By Period
McTavish
Steel
P1
51.5%
55.5%
P2
54.0%
55.1%
P3
47.1%
50.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |