Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Aho 54.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 51.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 64.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.9%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
McTavish
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McTavish
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
McTavish
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
54.5% (870)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
62.4% (266)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
37.1% (62)
-8.5%
On power play, Aho has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
McTavish
Aho
Home
52.3% (461)
53.9% (603)
Away
49.2% (500)
56.8% (595)
By Period
McTavish
Aho
P1
51.5%
54.1%
P2
54.0%
55.0%
P3
47.1%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |