Mason McTavish vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.5%
Defensive zone
McTavish 68.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 67.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
McTavish
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
McTavish
Aho
Last 10: McTavish 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
5
McTavish
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
McTavish
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
McTavish
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
50.1% (6,619)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
46.3% (464)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
McTavish shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
McTavish
Aho
Home
49.8% (1,678)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
McTavish
Aho
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
47.8%
52.0%
P3
48.4%
50.7%
OT
43.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |