Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McTavish wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Pinto 51.9% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 83.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 79.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 77.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
McTavish
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
McTavish
Pinto
Last 10: McTavish 1-9 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
5
McTavish
Pinto
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
3
McTavish
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
52.5% (825)
-10.1%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
40.0% (10)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.4% (27)
+5.6%
On even strength, Pinto has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
McTavish shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
McTavish
Pinto
Home
41.9% (372)
52.8% (453)
Away
42.8% (353)
51.3% (409)
By Period
McTavish
Pinto
P1
47.2%
49.0%
P2
36.2%
53.5%
P3
43.6%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |