Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Pinto 50.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 72.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 78.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 57.1%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
McTavish
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McTavish
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
McTavish
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
50.2% (520)
-2.6%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
68.0% (25)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
49.4% (89)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
McTavish
Pinto
Home
52.2% (389)
48.8% (301)
Away
45.1% (335)
52.6% (333)
By Period
McTavish
Pinto
P1
50.0%
51.2%
P2
47.9%
48.9%
P3
49.0%
53.3%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |