Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Pinto 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 71.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 76.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 51.1%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
McTavish
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McTavish
Pinto
Last 9: McTavish 4-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
4
McTavish
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
1
McTavish
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
50.4% (779)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
55.2% (29)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
44.9% (78)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
McTavish
Pinto
Home
52.3% (461)
52.4% (454)
Away
49.2% (500)
47.7% (432)
By Period
McTavish
Pinto
P1
51.5%
48.1%
P2
54.0%
52.9%
P3
47.1%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |