Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Wright 45.1% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Wright leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 69.2%
Defensive zone
Wright 68.2%
Neutral zone
Wright 75.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
McTavish
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
McTavish
Wright
Last 10: McTavish 3-7 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
McTavish
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
4
McTavish
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
43.9% (758)
+7.2%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
50.7% (67)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
40.0% (5)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
McTavish
Wright
Home
52.3% (461)
46.3% (406)
Away
49.2% (500)
42.7% (424)
By Period
McTavish
Wright
P1
51.5%
46.8%
P2
54.0%
42.6%
P3
47.1%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Shane Wright |