Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Wright 43.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Wright leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 64.2%
Defensive zone
Wright 60.0%
Neutral zone
Wright 66.0%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
McTavish
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
McTavish
Wright
Last 10: McTavish 5-5 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
3
McTavish
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
5
3
McTavish
Wright
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
4
McTavish
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
42.6% (1,318)
+5.6%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
45.8% (131)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
33.3% (6)
+1.0%
On power play, McTavish has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
McTavish
Wright
Home
49.8% (1,678)
44.2% (746)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
41.5% (709)
By Period
McTavish
Wright
P1
50.0%
44.4%
P2
47.8%
40.7%
P3
48.4%
44.0%
OT
43.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Shane Wright |