Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Wright 41.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 58.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 64.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 67.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
McTavish
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McTavish
Wright
Last 5: McTavish 3-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
McTavish
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
1
McTavish
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
39.5% (453)
+8.1%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
42.4% (59)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
McTavish
Wright
Home
52.2% (389)
39.5% (286)
Away
45.1% (335)
40.1% (227)
By Period
McTavish
Wright
P1
50.0%
39.9%
P2
47.9%
37.1%
P3
49.0%
42.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Shane Wright |