Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Crosby 55.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.4%
Defensive zone
Crosby 82.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 83.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 85.2%
14.8%
85.2%
McTavish
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
McTavish
Crosby
Last 10: McTavish 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
1
McTavish
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
1
McTavish
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
2
McTavish
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (615)
53.5% (961)
-5.9%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
64.1% (237)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
64.3% (14)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
McTavish
Crosby
Home
52.3% (388)
56.4% (622)
Away
45.1% (335)
54.9% (590)
By Period
McTavish
Crosby
P1
50.2%
56.0%
P2
47.9%
52.6%
P3
49.0%
58.3%
OT
40.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |