Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Crosby 57.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 57.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 66.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 67.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
McTavish
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
McTavish
Crosby
Last 10: McTavish 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
McTavish
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
McTavish
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
1
McTavish
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
57.8% (1,437)
-6.5%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
60.9% (381)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
50.0% (54)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
McTavish
Crosby
Home
52.0% (454)
59.2% (985)
Away
51.4% (391)
57.2% (887)
By Period
McTavish
Crosby
P1
51.3%
57.3%
P2
50.4%
59.5%
P3
53.3%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |