Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Crosby 52.8% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 81.3%
Defensive zone
McTavish 69.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 50.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
McTavish
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McTavish
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
52.5% (1,443)
-10.1%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
54.7% (369)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
55.9% (34)
-5.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
McTavish
Crosby
Home
41.9% (372)
53.0% (931)
Away
42.8% (353)
53.0% (915)
By Period
McTavish
Crosby
P1
47.2%
50.3%
P2
36.2%
55.4%
P3
43.6%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |