Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 77.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 54.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 60.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
McTavish
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McTavish
Crosby
Last 5: McTavish 3-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
56.2% (1,451)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
61.4% (293)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
55.3% (38)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
McTavish
Crosby
Home
52.3% (461)
59.1% (939)
Away
49.2% (500)
54.7% (843)
By Period
McTavish
Crosby
P1
51.5%
54.9%
P2
54.0%
60.8%
P3
47.1%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |