Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Jost 40.5% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 56.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 70.9%
Neutral zone
Jost 67.2%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
McTavish
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McTavish
Jost
Last 8: McTavish 3-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
McTavish
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
McTavish
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
41.0% (2,014)
+7.2%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
34.2% (73)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
35.3% (255)
-1.0%
On power play, McTavish has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
McTavish shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
McTavish
Jost
Home
49.8% (1,678)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
McTavish
Jost
P1
50.0%
38.5%
P2
47.8%
41.2%
P3
48.4%
40.9%
OT
43.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |