Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Jost 47.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 62.5%
Defensive zone
McTavish 71.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 60.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
McTavish
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McTavish
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
45.7% (116)
+5.4%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
37.5% (8)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
50.0% (2)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Jost has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
McTavish
Jost
Home
52.3% (461)
39.7% (68)
Away
49.2% (500)
51.7% (58)
By Period
McTavish
Jost
P1
51.5%
40.5%
P2
54.0%
47.9%
P3
47.1%
47.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |