Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.9% vs Jost 40.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 56.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 69.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 67.2%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
McTavish
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McTavish
Jost
Last 8: McTavish 3-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
McTavish
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
McTavish
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (2,704)
41.0% (1,977)
+7.4%
Power Play
52.7% (421)
34.7% (72)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
34.9% (249)
-0.6%
On power play, McTavish has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,090).
McTavish shoots left. Jost is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
McTavish
Jost
Home
50.2% (1,592)
42.0% (1,208)
Away
47.5% (1,568)
38.1% (1,090)
By Period
McTavish
Jost
P1
50.3%
38.5%
P2
48.1%
41.2%
P3
48.4%
40.8%
OT
43.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
48.9%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |