Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Barzal 41.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 72.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 92.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 91.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Cirelli
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Cirelli
Barzal
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
1
Cirelli
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
40.4% (463)
+10.0%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
34.2% (38)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
28.6% (7)
+7.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Barzal
Home
54.2% (395)
38.1% (244)
Away
45.0% (509)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Cirelli
Barzal
P1
50.8%
46.6%
P2
50.0%
35.7%
P3
46.6%
37.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |