Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Barzal wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 43.4% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 77.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 75.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 80.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Barzal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Barzal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Barzal 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Barzal
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
0
Barzal
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
5
Barzal
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (813)
52.7% (938)
-10.4%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
49.3% (225)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
39.5% (124)
+60.5%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Barzal is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Barzal shoots right. Zibanejad is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zibanejad
Home
44.3% (436)
54.9% (594)
Away
40.7% (398)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Barzal
Zibanejad
P1
39.7%
50.1%
P2
44.3%
49.0%
P3
44.2%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
52.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |