Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 61.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Barzal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Barzal
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Barzal
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
54.0% (955)
-7.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
55.6% (243)
-14.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zibanejad
Home
49.6% (242)
55.2% (656)
Away
43.3% (263)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Barzal
Zibanejad
P1
42.4%
56.3%
P2
49.5%
50.0%
P3
47.7%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
40.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |