Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 90.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 75.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Barzal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Barzal
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Barzal
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Barzal
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
50.1% (1,051)
-15.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
58.3% (120)
-2.7%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zibanejad
Home
37.0% (138)
49.0% (681)
Away
34.4% (154)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Barzal
Zibanejad
P1
29.5%
49.9%
P2
44.5%
47.6%
P3
31.8%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
39.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |