Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Barzal wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.9% vs Zibanejad 49.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 71.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 81.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 77.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Barzal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Barzal
Zibanejad
Last 9: Barzal 6-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
4
2
Barzal
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (514)
48.9% (809)
-8.2%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
53.4% (204)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
45.5% (191)
+4.5%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Barzal is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Barzal shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zibanejad
Home
43.0% (279)
49.8% (588)
Away
40.1% (269)
48.5% (616)
By Period
Barzal
Zibanejad
P1
41.2%
47.4%
P2
46.4%
50.7%
P3
37.1%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |