Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 37.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 44.9% vs Zibanejad 46.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 80.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 56.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 58.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Barzal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Barzal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Barzal 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Barzal
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Barzal
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (314)
47.8% (667)
-4.5%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
51.4% (181)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
36.0% (186)
-2.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Barzal is 37.7% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Barzal shoots right. Zibanejad is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zibanejad
Home
39.9% (168)
48.4% (529)
Away
46.7% (182)
44.2% (505)
By Period
Barzal
Zibanejad
P1
39.0%
46.2%
P2
49.1%
47.7%
P3
43.3%
44.8%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
30.5%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |