Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Granlund 48.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 57.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 56.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Barzal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Barzal
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (456)
50.0% (356)
-9.6%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
51.9% (79)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
29.4% (51)
-0.8%
On power play, Granlund has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Barzal shoots right. Granlund is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Barzal
Granlund
Home
38.0% (242)
57.0% (179)
Away
41.3% (259)
43.0% (307)
By Period
Barzal
Granlund
P1
46.6%
53.9%
P2
35.4%
48.2%
P3
38.0%
42.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |