Mathew Barzal vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Granlund 48.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 59.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 55.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Barzal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Barzal
Granlund
Last 10: Barzal 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
1
Barzal
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Barzal
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Barzal
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
48.5% (6,718)
-6.6%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
52.7% (748)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
43.6% (635)
-1.3%
On power play, Granlund has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Barzal shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,959).
Home / Away
Barzal
Granlund
Home
43.1% (1,895)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Barzal
Granlund
P1
40.7%
48.7%
P2
44.4%
48.7%
P3
41.0%
48.2%
OT
27.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
39.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |