Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Granlund 48.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 57.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Barzal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Barzal
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
48.7% (446)
-8.3%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
56.6% (99)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
31.1% (61)
-2.5%
On power play, Granlund has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Barzal
Granlund
Home
38.1% (244)
53.3% (255)
Away
41.3% (264)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Barzal
Granlund
P1
46.6%
51.3%
P2
35.7%
48.8%
P3
37.7%
44.4%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
40.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |