Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs Granlund 49.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 68.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 73.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Barzal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barzal
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Barzal
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
49.5% (588)
-7.2%
On even strength, Granlund has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. Granlund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Barzal
Granlund
Home
28.0% (25)
54.8% (305)
Away
55.6% (27)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Barzal
Granlund
P1
47.4%
43.8%
P2
45.8%
51.2%
P3
22.2%
53.9%
Final 5 min
37.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.3%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |