Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Frost 46.2% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 83.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 66.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 71.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Barzal
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Barzal
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Barzal
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Barzal
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
45.6% (833)
-10.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
46.0% (100)
+9.6%
On even strength, Frost has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Barzal shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Barzal
Frost
Home
37.0% (138)
47.0% (440)
Away
34.4% (154)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Barzal
Frost
P1
29.5%
42.5%
P2
44.5%
47.9%
P3
31.8%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |