Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Frost 55.7% (-16.5%)
Offensive zone
Frost 77.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Barzal
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
54.9% (701)
-14.5%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
60.8% (166)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
100.0% (5)
-71.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Barzal
Frost
Home
38.1% (244)
56.0% (443)
Away
41.3% (264)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Barzal
Frost
P1
46.6%
58.9%
P2
35.7%
55.3%
P3
37.7%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%