Mathew Barzal vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 45.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 52.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 55.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Barzal
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
45.8% (755)
+0.8%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
48.3% (60)
-7.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Barzal
MacKinnon
Home
49.6% (242)
49.5% (396)
Away
43.3% (263)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Barzal
MacKinnon
P1
42.4%
50.2%
P2
49.5%
43.8%
P3
47.7%
41.4%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%