Mathew Barzal vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 51.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Barzal
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
45.5% (1,190)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barzal is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Barzal shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Barzal
MacKinnon
Home
35.8% (53)
47.8% (670)
Away
49.2% (61)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Barzal
MacKinnon
P1
44.2%
45.3%
P2
38.5%
48.5%
P3
46.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%