Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Hischier 54.9% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 52.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Barzal
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Barzal
Hischier
Last 10: Barzal 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
2
Barzal
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
Barzal
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
55.0% (1,107)
-14.6%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
63.1% (252)
-28.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
43.6% (149)
-15.0%
On power play, Hischier has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Barzal
Hischier
Home
38.1% (244)
56.5% (763)
Away
41.3% (264)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Barzal
Hischier
P1
46.6%
56.0%
P2
35.7%
57.6%
P3
37.7%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |