Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barzal wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Hischier 53.6% (-18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 82.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 73.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 79.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Barzal
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Barzal
Hischier
Last 7: Barzal 1-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Barzal
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
Barzal
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Barzal
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
52.4% (1,185)
-17.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
57.8% (315)
-2.2%
On even strength, Hischier has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Barzal shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Barzal
Hischier
Home
37.0% (138)
53.4% (844)
Away
34.4% (154)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Barzal
Hischier
P1
29.5%
49.7%
P2
44.5%
54.6%
P3
31.8%
56.1%
OT
0.0%
65.5%
Final 5 min
39.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |