Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Hischier 51.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 63.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 63.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 65.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Barzal
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barzal
Hischier
Last 6: Barzal 2-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Barzal
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Barzal
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
51.0% (1,011)
-4.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
58.2% (261)
-17.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Hischier is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Barzal
Hischier
Home
49.6% (242)
52.8% (665)
Away
43.3% (263)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Barzal
Hischier
P1
42.4%
53.8%
P2
49.5%
53.8%
P3
47.7%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |