Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (76% H2H, 25 meetings). Barzal wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Hischier 52.6% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 37-15 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 93.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 97.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 94.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 95.0%
95.0%
5.0%
Barzal
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
37
(52 meetings)
15
37
Barzal
Hischier
Last 10: Barzal 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
9
Barzal
Hischier
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
9
Barzal
Hischier
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
6
19
Barzal
Hischier
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
51.5% (8,379)
-9.6%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
59.7% (1,736)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
49.4% (903)
-7.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Barzal shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Home / Away
Barzal
Hischier
Home
43.1% (1,895)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Barzal
Hischier
P1
40.7%
52.9%
P2
44.4%
52.4%
P3
41.0%
52.6%
OT
27.6%
50.6%
Final 5 min
39.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |