Mathew Barzal vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 64.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
50.3% (479)
-8.0%
On even strength, Nugent-Hopkins has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
28.0% (25)
48.9% (270)
Away
55.6% (27)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.4%
48.7%
P2
45.8%
50.0%
P3
22.2%
47.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%