Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 87.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 76.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Barzal
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barzal
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
55.3% (628)
-20.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
55.1% (216)
+0.5%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Barzal
Stamkos
Home
37.0% (138)
55.5% (499)
Away
34.4% (154)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Barzal
Stamkos
P1
29.5%
50.7%
P2
44.5%
53.8%
P3
31.8%
55.9%
OT
0.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
39.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |