Mathew Barzal vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barzal wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 61.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 83.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 77.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Barzal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Barzal
Karlsson
Last 10: Barzal 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
5
2
Barzal
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Barzal
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
51.8% (7,849)
-9.9%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
54.8% (1,048)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
44.2% (1,109)
-1.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Barzal shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Barzal
Karlsson
Home
43.1% (1,895)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Barzal
Karlsson
P1
40.7%
50.3%
P2
44.4%
51.3%
P3
41.0%
52.4%
OT
27.6%
44.9%
Final 5 min
39.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:22 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |