Mathew Barzal vs William Karlsson

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barzal 47.4% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-15.8%)
Offensive zone Karlsson 52.9%
Defensive zone Karlsson 70.0%
Neutral zone Karlsson 57.2%
Result William Karlsson favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Barzal Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barzal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
58.6% (597)
-16.3%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +16.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Barzal
Karlsson
Home
28.0% (25)
59.6% (344)
Away
55.6% (27)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Barzal
Karlsson
P1
47.4%
53.1%
P2
45.8%
62.1%
P3
22.2%
60.1%
Final 5 min
37.5%
61.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%
44.0%
42.3%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
58.1%