Mathew Barzal vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 74.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 71.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 73.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Barzal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Barzal
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Barzal
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Barzal
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
51.4% (735)
-4.8%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
63.5% (115)
-22.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Barzal
Karlsson
Home
49.6% (242)
52.3% (524)
Away
43.3% (263)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Barzal
Karlsson
P1
42.4%
50.7%
P2
49.5%
51.4%
P3
47.7%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
40.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | William Karlsson |