Mathew Barzal vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 66.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 84.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 56.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Barzal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barzal
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Barzal
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
55.3% (897)
-20.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.1% (113)
-5.5%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Barzal shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Barzal
Karlsson
Home
37.0% (138)
58.6% (560)
Away
34.4% (154)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Barzal
Karlsson
P1
29.5%
55.8%
P2
44.5%
55.6%
P3
31.8%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |