Mathew Barzal vs William Karlsson
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 43.4% vs Karlsson 48.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 84.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 82.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 87.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 84.0%
16.0%
84.0%
Barzal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Barzal
Karlsson
Last 6: Barzal 5-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
0
Barzal
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (813)
48.9% (662)
-6.6%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
46.7% (107)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
41.2% (68)
+58.8%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Barzal shoots right. Karlsson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Barzal
Karlsson
Home
44.3% (436)
46.1% (401)
Away
40.7% (398)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Barzal
Karlsson
P1
39.7%
46.6%
P2
44.3%
49.5%
P3
44.2%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |