Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.8% vs Gourde 52.5% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 62.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 65.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 69.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Barzal
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barzal
Gourde
Last 5: Barzal 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (516)
54.7% (243)
-12.8%
Power Play
40.0% (60)
50.0% (24)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
37.5% (16)
-12.5%
On even strength, Gourde has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Barzal shoots right. Gourde is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Barzal
Gourde
Home
46.9% (303)
54.1% (133)
Away
35.7% (277)
52.7% (150)
By Period
Barzal
Gourde
P1
39.9%
54.5%
P2
45.1%
52.6%
P3
39.9%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |